On August 17, 2008, Steve Clemons predicted that Joe Biden would be Obama’s running mate:

sources close to Obama report to me that after the “surge of concern” on the net about Evan Bayh, he has not been selected as Obama’s VP running mate.

I have been informed that the decision has been made, and I don’t know who that person is.

I also have been told that Tom Daschle is not the running mate. I also happen to know that it is not Wesley Clark.

I just received word that it is not Senator Jack Reed either, though Obama thought very highly of him.

In my estimation, that leaves Joseph Biden, Chuck Hagel, and Sibelius. I don’t think that Tim Kaine would be the nominee given the elevation of Mark Warner as the keynote speaker at the Dem convention.

As much as I would love Hagel to be the nominee, I don’t think that will happen. . .and while I could be wrong here, I have heard next to nothing about Sibelius.

That leaves Joe Biden. Could Warner be a head fake — and it’s Tim Kaine after all? Not sure. . .circumstantial evidence points to Biden.