How Did They Do?

On June 30, 2008, Bill Kristol predicted that John McCain would pick Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running-mate:

During the segment, [Kristol's] “prediction” turned out to be that he thinks McCain might pick Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. Here’s why Kristol claims such a pick would lower gas prices:

KRISTOL: First, I think she would help him get elected, which would be a good thing if you want gas prices to come down. Then she’ll persuade him that we have to drill in ANWR and have an aggressive drilling program across the board.

Today, August 28, Matt Drudge predicted that John McCain’s VP choice would leak before Obama’s speech:

SOURCE: NAME MAY LEAK AT 6 PM ET… WITH SOME SORT OF CONFIRMATION AT 8 PM… DEVELOPING…

On June 5, 2008, E.J. Dionne predicted in the Washington Post that Hillary Clinton’s speech on June 3 took her out of contention for the vice-president spot on the ticket:

Hillary Clinton talked her way out of the vice presidency on Tuesday night.

Barack Obama may never have intended to make her the offer. But Clinton’s largely self-focused non-concession speech suggested that what some call a dream ticket could turn into a nightmare.

On August 17, 2008, Steve Clemons predicted that Joe Biden would be Obama’s running mate:

sources close to Obama report to me that after the “surge of concern” on the net about Evan Bayh, he has not been selected as Obama’s VP running mate.

I have been informed that the decision has been made, and I don’t know who that person is.

I also have been told that Tom Daschle is not the running mate. I also happen to know that it is not Wesley Clark.

I just received word that it is not Senator Jack Reed either, though Obama thought very highly of him.

In my estimation, that leaves Joseph Biden, Chuck Hagel, and Sibelius. I don’t think that Tim Kaine would be the nominee given the elevation of Mark Warner as the keynote speaker at the Dem convention.

As much as I would love Hagel to be the nominee, I don’t think that will happen. . .and while I could be wrong here, I have heard next to nothing about Sibelius.

That leaves Joe Biden. Could Warner be a head fake — and it’s Tim Kaine after all? Not sure. . .circumstantial evidence points to Biden.